Scorch in XLPE Lines: The Most Expensive Mistake Happens While Everything Looks "Stable" - Niotek Blog

Scorch in XLPE Lines: The Most Expensive Mistake Happens While Everything Looks "Stable"

Anas Naguib December 22, 2024 1 reads 1 min read

In HV/EHV cable manufacturing, apparent stability is often just an illusion preceding disaster. Learn why PID controllers fail with XLPE extrusion and how Virtual Metrology prevents catastrophic scorch defects.

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Technical Insight READ_TIME: 4 MIN

Scorch in XLPE Lines: The Most Expensive Mistake Happens While Everything Looks “Stable”

Do you trust your control screen? In Continuous Vulcanization (CV) lines, apparent stability is often just an illusion preceding disaster.

In High Voltage (HV) and Extra High Voltage (EHV) cable manufacturing, we do not fear obvious breakdowns. An obvious breakdown stops the line immediately. What we should truly fear is the "ostensibly stable process."

The nightmare scenario for any Plant Manager is not a motor explosion. It is discovering "scorch" or "amber" particles in the insulation after 15 days of running a continuous submarine cable. At that moment, it does not matter how high your OEE was yesterday; your profits have just turned into catastrophic losses.

01 // The Physics of Disaster: Why Your PID Controller Lies to You

The core problem with extruding XLPE (Cross-linked Polyethylene) is that it is a non-Newtonian fluid, meaning its viscosity changes unpredictably with shear rate and temperature.

The Operational Dilemma: Thermal Inertia

Barrel heaters and cooling fans have a delayed effect (lag time). When you rely on a traditional PID controller, it reacts to the error after it happens.

By the time the sensor detects a deviation, shear heat has already risen inside the extruder, and the material has begun to cross-link (cure) prematurely. These cured particles create microscopic defects in the insulation that lead to electrical breakdown. You are managing a complex chemical process with "reactive" tools, and that is the definition of operational risk.

02 // The "Factory Joint" Nightmare

When scorch occurs in the middle of a "Master Length" for a submarine cable, your options are existential:

  • Stop the Line This necessitates pulling the screw for cleaning—a process that drains days of labor and halts production entirely.
  • The Worst Case—The Factory Joint If the line stops, or defects are found, you are forced to make a "factory joint". This involves manually splicing the conductor and insulation. It is a high-risk operation susceptible to contamination and voids.

"From a risk management perspective, a factory joint is a permanent failure point that haunts you for the cable's lifespan. Insurance companies know this, and your clients know this."

03 // The Defensive Solution: Virtual Metrology

Industrial AI does not just exist to increase speed; it exists to give you "eyes" inside the extruder. Instead of waiting for lagging sensor data, we deploy CNN-LSTM models for Virtual Metrology. These algorithms analyze hundreds of variables—screw speed, melt pressure, motor current—to predict cable properties and melt quality proactively.

Feed-forward Control

The system recognizes that heat will rise in a minute based on the current pattern, and it adjusts the cooling now. This eliminates the lag time inherent in PID loops.

The Bottom Line for the CFO and Technical Director

You are not investing in software; you are buying an insurance policy against unplanned downtime. The cost of cleaning a single screw involves days of lost capacity. The cost of a submarine cable failure due to a bad factory joint is incalculable.

At Niotek, we add the intelligence layer that prevents physics from working against you. The decision is yours: Do you continue to drive using the "rear-view mirror" (PID), or do you start looking at the road ahead?

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Anas Naguib

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